Ali Sardar Shahraki; Mahmood Mohhamad Ghasemi
Abstract
The issue of water resource management has become extremely complicated due to the droughts of the last two decades and the competition among the drinking sector, agricultural sector, and international Hamoun wetland to use water. To analyze the status and help managers in policy analysis and decision-making, ...
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The issue of water resource management has become extremely complicated due to the droughts of the last two decades and the competition among the drinking sector, agricultural sector, and international Hamoun wetland to use water. To analyze the status and help managers in policy analysis and decision-making, this research adopted an integrated water resource model (WEAP) with a decision support system (DSS) approach to study the effect of drought on rural and agricultural development and its economic impacts in the region. So, the Iranian government’s water development projects were simulated within 11 scenarios for a medium-term period (up to the 2030 horizon) and the implications of their implementation for the development of the rural and agricultural sectors were assessed. According to the results, if Afghanistan observes Iran’s water rights, there will still be a great amount of unmet water demand (314.53 million m3) for the agricultural and wetland sectors. However, if this scenario is realized, the unmet demand will decrease by about 196 million m3 versus the status quo and the agricultural sector’s profit will increase by about 314 billion IRR, which will be very helpful for rural development. So, relevant officials should put their best effort into realizing the water right. It is suggested to strengthen water diplomacy between the two main stakeholders in the region in order to reduce the persistence of drought.
Arash Azari; Milad Asadi
Abstract
In the simulation models of water resource systems, calibration processes should be performed to approximate the simulated values to the observed values due to the errors in such models. However, due to being time consuming and the difficulties associated with manual calibration, an automatic calibration ...
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In the simulation models of water resource systems, calibration processes should be performed to approximate the simulated values to the observed values due to the errors in such models. However, due to being time consuming and the difficulties associated with manual calibration, an automatic calibration model can be a resolver. In this research, the simulation of Jareh Dam and network system was conducted using the WEAP model. Then, by linking this model to the NSGA-II algorithm, its automatic calibration was performed by this algorithm. Nach statistical parameter was used to check the calibration accuracy of the model. The whole system was in the form of a multi-objective NSGA-II algorithm, in which the first objective function, which was to minimize the difference between the observed and the calculated reservoir storage volumes, was assessed versus the second objective function, which was to minimize the difference in the calculated and the simulated discharges, at two Mashin and Jokank stations. The results showed the remarkable ability of NSGA-II algorithm for automatic model calibration, so that the operation status of the dam and river was of the greatest consistency with reality.